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	<title>Jan Kallberg, Author at Army Times</title>
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	<title>Jan Kallberg, Author at Army Times</title>
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		<title>US military must prepare for POW concerns in the deepfake era</title>
		<link>https://www.armytimes.com/newsletters/daily-news-roundup/2021/08/23/us-military-must-prepare-for-pow-concerns-in-the-deepfake-era/</link>
					<comments>https://www.armytimes.com/newsletters/daily-news-roundup/2021/08/23/us-military-must-prepare-for-pow-concerns-in-the-deepfake-era/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jan Kallberg]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Aug 2021 21:15:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily News Roundup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newsletters]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[The authors suggest four preliminary steps to prepare for manipulated recordings and photos of POWs, including establishing methods to identify doctored videos quickly after adversaries send them out.]]></description>
		
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In previous conflicts, authoritarian regimes have attempted to <a href="https://archive.org/details/PrisonerOfWarResistance/mode/2up" target="_blank">exploit</a> their American prisoners of war for propaganda gain. These efforts often took the form of video and audio recordings as well as pictures of the POWs, despite such activities being in clear violation of the Geneva Conventions. The prospect of advanced digital capabilities such as deepfakes presents a significant new tool for potential adversaries in future conflicts. The American military must prepare for the prospect of these new technologies being used against their POWs in future conflicts.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Deepfake is the technique to manipulate video and audio to make it appear in a video that the person says or does something they never said or did. The technique utilizes preexisting audio and video of the target to create a video (potentially even a real-time, live video feed) where another person is controlling what is said by the deepfake subject, duplicating the targeted individual’s face, features, speech and vocal distinction. The end product is often not only plausible, but it can also be highly believable.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Several internet-famous deepfakes have surfaced on social media. The deepfakes of the Belgian visual artist Chris Ume gained international attention as he created compelling manipulated videos featuring what appeared to be Tom <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2021/3/5/22314980/tom-cruise-deepfake-tiktok-videos-ai-impersonator-chris-ume-miles-fisher" target="_blank">Cruise</a>. The person is instead the actor <a href="https://www.cnet.com/news/creator-of-tom-cruise-deepfakes-shares-how-he-made-those-viral-tiktok-videos/" target="_blank">Miles Fisher</a> that Ume created to look and sound like Tom Cruise. Ume needed two months to create the Tom Cruise deepfakes, but he did not have access to Tom Cruise and couldn’t call him in to extract voice or features to speed up the deepfake creation. Today, a deepfake can be created in as little as <a href="https://towardsdatascience.com/how-to-produce-a-deepfake-video-in-5-minutes-513984fd24b6" target="_blank">five minutes</a>. In a POW or captivity scenario, the captor’s access to the captive will render it very simple for the captor to create a deepfake of the captive.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">From a POW and captive recovery perspective, this technology creates two distinct concerns.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The first concern is the release of a POW deepfake to the public. Even though a violation of the Geneva Conventions, such a deepfake could be manipulated and utilized to create narratives of war crimes, atrocities, rejection of the U.S. war effort, pleadings to end the war, and other propaganda. The videos and audio could be distributed back to the American homefront on a broad scale to undermine the American war effort and the will to fight, stress families, influence politicians, and create cleavage in communities to weaken support for the war.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The second concern is that the captor could show deepfakes to POWs in order to manipulate them while in captivity. The captor could utilize deepfakes to indoctrinate, psychologically destabilize and manipulate the captive’s mental state. This effect becomes more likely in a protracted conflict where captivity might continue for several years. Even if each individual deepfake could be brushed off as likely fake, it is likely that over time, the isolation and pressure from the surrounding conditions could induce a POW to accept the deepfakes as real.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In our view, the POW deepfake concerns need to be addressed in advance of potential conflicts where such tactics may be used. Planning and research initiatives should be commenced to address these increasingly likely possibilities. Preliminary efforts should include: (1) establishing ways to identify deepfakes shortly after their dissemination, (2) exploring the possibility of preparing a validated genuine video of all servicemembers as an aid to identifying deepfakes, with enough data that could be deposited before deployment (much like is currently done for <a href="https://capstone.ndu.edu/Portals/83/Documents/Capstone/ISOPREP.pdf" target="_blank">ISOPREP</a>), (3) preparing both the military and public at large in advance to the possibility of deepfakes, and (4) including deepfake information in POW training in order to prepare servicemembers for the possibility that deepfakes may be used against them in captivity.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><i>Jan Kallberg is a research scientist at the Army Cyber Institute at West Point and an assistant professor at the U.S. Military Academy. Col. Stephen Hamilton is the chief of staff and technical director at the Army Cyber Institute at West Point and an associate professor at the United States Military Academy. The views expressed are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Army Cyber Institute at West Point, the U.S. Military Academy or the Defense Department.</i></p>
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      <dc:creator><![CDATA[Col. Stephen Hamilton]]></dc:creator>
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		<title>Government cyber breach shows need for convergence</title>
		<link>https://www.armytimes.com/newsletters/daily-news-roundup/2020/12/28/government-cyber-breach-shows-need-for-convergence/</link>
					<comments>https://www.armytimes.com/newsletters/daily-news-roundup/2020/12/28/government-cyber-breach-shows-need-for-convergence/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Maj. Chuck Suslowicz]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Dec 2020 16:57:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily News Roundup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newsletters]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Keeping offensive and defensive cyber operations in silos results in exploitable weaknesses, according to three cyber experts.]]></description>
		
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The SolarWinds breach points out the importance of having both offensive and defensive cyber force experience.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The <a href="https://www.c4isrnet.com/cyber/2020/12/17/its-going-to-take-a-lot-of-digging-the-pentagons-long-search-to-see-if-anyones-hiding-in-its-networks/" target=_blank>breach is an ongoing investigation</a>, and we will not comment on the investigation. Still, in general terms, we want to point out the exploitable weaknesses in creating two silos — OCO and DCO.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The separation of OCO and DCO, through the specialization of formations and leadership, undermines broader understanding and value of threat intelligence. The growing demarcation between OCO and DCO also have operative and tactical implications. The Multi-Domain Operations (MDO) concept emphasizes the competitive advantages that the Army — and greater Department of Defense — can bring to bear by leveraging the unique and complementary capabilities of each service.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It requires that leaders understand the capabilities their organization can bring to bear in order to achieve the maximum effect from the available resources. Cyber leaders must have exposure to a depth and the breadth of their chosen domain to contribute to MDO.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Unfortunately, within the Army’s operational cyber forces, there is a tendency to designate officers as either offensive cyber operations (OCO) or defensive cyber operations (DCO) specialists. The shortsighted nature of this categorization is detrimental to the Army’s efforts in cyberspace and stymies the development of the cyber force, affecting all soldiers.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Army will suffer in its planning and ability to operationally contribute to MDO from a siloed officer corps unexposed to the domain’s inherent flexibility.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">We consider the assumption that there is a distinction between OCO and DCO to be flawed. It perpetuates the idea that the two operational types are doing unrelated tasks with different tools, and that experience in one will not improve performance in the other. We do not see such a rigid distinction between OCO and DCO competencies. In fact, most concepts within the cyber domain apply directly to both types of operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The argument that OCO and DCO share competencies is not new; the iconic cybersecurity expert Dan Geer first pointed out that cyber tools are dual-use nearly two decades ago, and continues to do so. A tool that is valuable to a network defender can prove equally valuable during an offensive operation, and vice versa.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For example, a tool that maps a network’s topology is critical for the network owner’s situational awareness. The tool could also be effective for an attacker to maintain situational awareness of a target network. The dual-use nature of cyber tools requires cyber leaders to recognize both sides of their utility.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, a tool that does a beneficial job of visualizing key terrain to defend will create a high-quality roadmap for a devastating attack. Limiting officer experiences to only one side of cyberspace operations (CO) will limit their vision, handicap their input as future leaders, and risk squandering effective use of the cyber domain in MDO.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">An argument will be made that “deep expertise is necessary for success” and that officers should be chosen for positions based on their previous exposure. This argument fails on two fronts. First, the Army’s decades of experience in officers’ development have shown the value of diverse exposure in officer assignments. Other branches already ensure officers experience a breadth of assignments to prepare them for senior leadership.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Second, this argument ignores the reality of “challenging technical tasks” within the cyber domain. As cyber tasks grow more technically challenging, the tools become more common between OCO and DCO, not less common. For example, two of the most technically challenging tasks, reverse engineering of malware (DCO) and development of exploits (OCO), use virtually identical toolkits.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">An identical argument can be made for <a href="https://www.c4isrnet.com/battlefield-tech/it-networks/2020/12/27/very-difficult-to-defend-what-happens-if-hackers-are-inside-the-pentagons-networks/" target=_blank>network defenders preventing adversarial access</a> and offensive operators seeking to gain access to adversary networks. Ultimately, the types of operations differ in their intent and approach, but significant overlap exists within their technical skillsets.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Experience within one fragment of the domain directly translates to the other and provides insight into an adversary’s decision-making processes. This combined experience provides critical knowledge for leaders, and lack of experience will undercut the Army’s ability to execute MDO effectively. Defenders with OCO experience will be better equipped to identify an adversary’s most likely and most devastating courses of action within the domain. Similarly, OCO planned by leaders with DCO experience are more likely to succeed as the planners are better prepared to account for potential adversary countermeasures.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In both cases, the cross-pollination of experience improves the Army’s ability to leverage the cyber domain and improve its effectiveness. Single tracked officers may initially be easier to integrate or better able to contribute on day one of an assignment. However, single-tracked officers will ultimately bring far less to the table than officers experienced in both sides of the domain due to the multifaceted cyber environment in MDO.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><i>Maj. Chuck Suslowicz is a research scientist in the Army Cyber Institute at West Point and an instructor in the U.S. Military Academy’s Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS). Dr. Jan Kallberg is a research scientist at the Army Cyber Institute at West Point and an assistant professor at the U.S. Military Academy. LTC Todd Arnold is a research scientist in the Army Cyber Institute at West Point and assistant professor in U.S. Military Academy’s Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science (EECS.) The views expressed are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Army Cyber Institute at West Point, the U.S. Military Academy or the Department of Defense.</i></p>
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      <dc:creator><![CDATA[Jan Kallberg]]></dc:creator>
      <dc:creator><![CDATA[LTC Todd Arnold]]></dc:creator>
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